Economy

Markets Update: Great expectations

By Business & Finance
30 January 2017
stocks markets financial

Positivity prevailed in the face of adversity and the investment markets performed well in spite of changes across the political landscape. Ian Slattery reports.

US stocks led the world higher towards the end of the week, despite Q4 GDP coming in at below estimates. Growth came in at 1.9% on an annualised basis, whereby economists had expected 2.2%.

The VIX index, which measures volatility, hit a 12-month low as market participants begin to believe that President Trump will implement a large amount of his election policy pledges.

ian slattery headshot

Ian Slattery

Approximately 28.4% of the S&P 500 has reported earnings since January 3rd and of those companies, 68% have beat earnings expectations. Revenue figures have also generally been positive, and more figures are due to be released this week.

European stocks were also higher during the week, even in the face of a number of minor political surprises.

Angela Merkel will now face the more popular Martin Schultz in the German election, French presidential hopeful François Fillon was hit with a scandal involving payments to his wife, whilst an Italian Supreme Court ruling on electoral law is been seen by some commentators as paving the way for elections this year.

indexsnapshotThe global index was up 1% over the course of the week, being led by Hong Kong which gained 2.1%.

28.4% of the S&P 500 has reported earnings since January 3rd and of those companies, 68% have beat earnings expectations

Copper rose once again, returning 2.5% over the period. Gold was off 1.6% over the week, as investors displayed a more ‘risk on’ appetite. Oil was up 1.4%, to close above $53/barrel on the back of well received comments from OPEC.

The US 10-year bond price fell once again, as the yield moved up from 2.47% to 2.48% during the week. The yield on the equivalent German Bund closed at 0.46%.

THE WEEK AHEAD

Tuesday January 31st
In Europe, the preliminary Q4 2016 GDP growth goes to print, where the consensus expects 0.4% (quarter-on-quarter) growth, up from 0.3% in Q3. January Headline Inflation is also expected to tick up to 1.6%, from the last reading of 1.5%.

Thursday February 2nd
There is no policy change envisaged at the Bank of England’s MPC meeting. However, there is a slew of economic data also released and this may drive Sterling volatility.

Friday February 3rd
January non-farm payrolls are expected to increase in the US, up approximately 170,000, from the December reading of 156,000. The unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.7%.

The team at Zurich Investments is a long established and highly experienced team of investment managers who manage approximately €20.8bn in investment of which pension assets amount to €9.9bn. To find out more about Zurich Life’s funds and investments, w: zurichlife.ie/funds, Twitter: @ZurichLife, LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/zurich-life-assurance-plc

Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance. Benefits may be affected by changes in currency exchange rates. The value of your investment may go down as well as up. If you invest in these funds you may lose some or all of the money you invest.

­­