Financial News

Markets Update: Taking stock

By Business & Finance
09 January 2017
stocks markets financial

Ian Slattery reports on a positive start to the year, with the global index rising and stocks responding positively to GDP growth projections.

Stocks responded positively to the release of the December FOMC meeting minutes, which outlined the committee’s views on GDP growth, and the potential for fiscal stimulus.

The US dollar index and US treasuries rose towards the end of the week as the Federal Reserve minutes and Friday’s wage growth data increased the expectation of interest rate tightening in 2017, but still finished the week in negative territory, as the Chinese renminbi rallied hard early in the week.

ian slattery headshot

Ian Slattery

In data released on Friday US non-farm payrolls rose by 156,000, less than the consensus expectation, although readings from the previous two months were revised upwards.

US wage growth was the big positive from the data, with average hourly earnings now growing at an annual rate of 2.9%, representing the quickest pace of growth since 2009.

Oil briefly hit a 12-month high as the agreed OPEC production cuts started to filter through, and as US stockpiles declined more than expected.

index

snapshotThe global index enjoyed a positive start to the year, rising 1.6% in euro terms. Commodities also saw a positive week, as gold, silver, crude oil, and copper all posted gains, with silver the best performer at 3.5%.

Commodities saw a positive week, as gold, silver, crude oil and copper all posted gains

The US 10-year bond price rose slightly over the course of the week, as the yield declined from 2.44% to 2.42%. The price on the equivalent German Bund fell during the week, as the yield moved from 0.20% to 0.30%.

The euro was steady against the dollar over the week, with the EUR/USD rate closing the week at 1.05.

THE WEEK AHEAD

Tuesday January 10th
Chinese CPI (Consumer Price Index) figures for December go to print, where the year-on-year growth figure is expected at 2.3%, which represents no change from the November reading.

Thursday January 12th
Eurozone industrial production data for November becomes available, where the consensus is for a month-on-month rise of 0.5%, from a previous reading of -0.1%.

Thursday January 12th
The minutes of the last ECB rate decision meeting are released, where markets will look for further information on how the group arrived at their decision to extend the QE programme, and also look for clues on future policy developments.

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