Markets Update: US and UK politics shape markets

Sterling saw its biggest one-day gain against the dollar since 2008, up 2.9%, in the immediate aftermath of UK prime minister Teresa May’s speech last Tuesday. Ian Slattery reports.

The markets struggled to find direction in the week leading up to the inauguration of Donald Trump, and some of the uncertainty over his future policies began to leak into financial markets.

Ian Slattery

The S&P 500 index closed with a small decline, and has essentially been trading sideways since mid-December.

US Treasuries saw prices fall during the course of the week as a more ‘hawkish’ stance from the Fed, coupled with stronger economic data, drove yields higher.

UK Prime Minister Teresa May provided some clarity in her speech last Tuesday, and markets are now expecting a ‘hard Brexit’ from the EU. Sterling saw its biggest one-day gain against the dollar since 2008, up 2.9%, in the immediate aftermath of the speech.

The UK Supreme Court is expected to rule this week on whether parliamentary approval is required to trigger Article 50, but irrespective of their decision markets still forecast the move by the end of March.

The global index fell 0.8% over the course of the week, as modest economic data was offset by US policy uncertainty concerns.

Gold saw another weekly price gain, as investors perhaps utilise it as an inflation hedge

Copper fell over the course of the week, down 2.4% in dollar terms. Gold saw another weekly price gain, as investors perhaps utilise it as an inflation hedge.

The US 10-year bond yield saw a volatile week, falling to 2.33% before finishing at 2.47%, from 2.40% a week ago. The yield on the equivalent German Bund also rose, closing the week at 0.42%, from 0.34%.

The euro was up once again against the dollar over the week, with the EUR/USD rate closing at 1.07.

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