Equity movements were somewhat muted last week, as US markets were interrupted by the Thanksgiving Holiday on Thursday and barring World Cup matches, the week observed no major upsets, writes Ian Slattery.
US equities did rise slightly on the back of minutes released from the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy meeting which suggested an easing in rate hikes. Investors who have worried of the crippling effects of tight financial conditions on the US economy were buoyed by this sentiment, with many viewings it as a headwind for inflation coming under control. US equities closed the market up 0.3%, in Euro terms.
In US bond markets the benchmark 10 Year Treasury Yield finished the week 12 bps lower at 3.68%, on the back of lower inflation expectations. Although gains in the US were incremental this week, some analysts have used this as evidence of an inflection point in the prevailing bear market, the soft increases bode well for the long term as opposed to the steep rallies we observed in recent weeks.
Within Europe, equities ended the week up 1.8%. This came on the back of the more dovish Central Bank news from the US, as well as some positive economic data for European economies. In Germany the report on German Business Confidence suggested expectations of a milder recession.
Whilst last Wednesday saw the release of November’s flash PMI survey for the Eurozone, which showed that although the Bloc remains in a contractionary period, supply chain and cost pressures have eased somewhat suggesting a more upbeat sentiment.
Lastly, Asian equities continue to suffer while Chinese growth prospects remain uncertain under China’s Zero Covid Policy. With cases on the rise in China and reaching a new record high on Friday, worries about lockdown conditions becoming prolonged have hurt equities in Hong Kong, finishing the week down -2.0%, in euro terms.
Global stocks were up last week by 0.8% in euro terms and 2.4% In local terms. Year-to-date global markets was down -7.2% in euro terms and -15.1% In local terms. The US market, the largest in the world, were up 0.3% in euro terms and 2.0% in local terms.
Fixed Income & FX
The US 10-year yield finished at 3.68% last week. The German equivalent finished at 2.01%. The Irish 10-year bond yield finished at 2.45%. The Euro/US Dollar exchange rate finished at 1.05, whilst Euro/GBP finished at 0.87.
Oil finished the week at $74 per barrel and is up 6.7% year-to-date in euro terms. Gold finished the week at $1,761 per troy ounce and is up 4.4% year-to date in euro terms. Copper finished the week at $7,975 per tonne.
The week ahead
Wednesday 30th November
Eurozone CPI goes to print.
Thursday 1st December
US Manufacturing PMI is released.
Friday 2nd December
US unemployment report is issued.
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The team at Zurich Investments is a long established and highly experienced team of investment managers who manage approximately €27.5bn in investment of which pension assets amount to €16.9bn. To find out more about Zurich Life’s funds and investments, w: zurichlife.ie/funds,
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